组合拱式管桥可靠性分析
Reliability Analysis of Combined-Arch Pipe Bridge
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摘要: 跨越管桥结构是长输油气管道中非常重要的组成部分, 其结构设计是否合理以及安全可靠性的高低将对这类管道整体运行产生直接影响。以圆弧形组合拱式管桥作为研究对象, 应用一次二阶矩理论对这种管桥结构进行了可靠性分析和计算, 给出了组合拱式管桥可靠性的分析思路, 认为影响结构构件抗力的主要因素是材料性能、几何参数和计算模式精度等随机变量, 提出了确定目标可靠指标β0的方法, 并以中心点法对组合拱式管桥结构构件或截面的可靠指标β0进行了分析和计算。考虑到计算β公式的繁复性, 以FORTRAN语言编制了用于组合拱式管桥可靠性分析的CPMRA软件。以该软件计算可靠指标β的结果表明, 所述分析方法是正确的, 计算结果精度高, 并证明该种管桥的常规设计方法过于保守, 经济上不合理。Abstract: Overhead crossing pipe bridge is a very important structure for long-distance oil/gas pipeline, its reasonable structure design and safe reliability will tatally ensure this kind of pipeline to safe operation. Taking an arch-shape Combined-Arched Pipe Bridge (CAPB) as a research target, the paper applies the first-order second-moment theory to carry out reliability analysis on CAPB and provides the analysis ideas of reliability of CAPB. It considers that the major factors influencing the resistivity of structure members are such random variables as the material performances, geometric parameters and accuracy of models, and put forward the method which determines the target reliability indices β0, and quantitatively analyses and calculates the structure reliability indices of CAPB with centre-point method. It developes reliability analysis software-CPMRA with FORTRAN language in order to deal with the complicated β equations. The indices results calculated by the software show that the analysis method described in the paper are correct with a high accuracy, and prove that the old design method of CAPB is too conservative to be reasonable in economy.