殷雄,张晶,杨飞,等. 耦合机理与数据的天然气动态管存快速计算方法[J]. 油气储运,2025,x(x):1−8.
引用本文: 殷雄,张晶,杨飞,等. 耦合机理与数据的天然气动态管存快速计算方法[J]. 油气储运,2025,x(x):1−8.
YIN Xiong, ZHANG Jing, YANG Fei, et al. A rapid calculation method for dynamic linepack of natural gas by coupling data and mechanism models[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2025, x(x): 1−8.
Citation: YIN Xiong, ZHANG Jing, YANG Fei, et al. A rapid calculation method for dynamic linepack of natural gas by coupling data and mechanism models[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2025, x(x): 1−8.

耦合机理与数据的天然气动态管存快速计算方法

A rapid calculation method for dynamic linepack of natural gas by coupling data and mechanism models

  • 摘要:
    目的 管道作为天然气长距离输送的主要方式,在国家能源安全中扮演着至关重要的角色。管存作为天然气管网综合运行参数,具备安全与经济双重属性。然而,现有稳态管存计算方法仅适用于稳定工况,在工况变化情况下计算精度不足,不符合管网非稳态运行特征;动态管存计算方法需要依托复杂的天然气管网在线仿真系统,计算效率低下,难以满足实际应用需求。
    方法 为此,提出了一种耦合数据与机理的天然气管存快速计算方法。先分析了管存指标在天然气管网安全与高效运行中的关键作用,再根据管道行业标准与数值仿真原理,详细比较了稳态、动态两种传统管存计算方法在数值精度、计算效率及适用工况等方面的差异。继而针对传统方法难以兼顾精度与效率的缺陷,通过将机理模型嵌入数据模型,结合长短期记忆网络(Long Short-Term Memory, LSTM)实现了时序管存数据的高效计算,克服了纯数据模型泛化能力差、纯机理模型计算效率低的问题。
    结果 将耦合数据与机理的天然气管存快速计算方法应用于中国某在役天然气管道,分别对比了修正、嵌入、整合3种LSTM与管存数值计算模型耦合模式,结果表明,嵌入模式下管存计算最大偏差为0.76×104 m3,远低于修正模式与整合模式。基于嵌入模式的管存快速计算方法在计算精度与速度上较传统管存计算方法有明显优势,并且避免了复杂在线仿真系统的搭建,实现了管存计算的模块化与轻量化部署,验证了所提方法的有效性。
    结论 耦合数据与机理的天然气动态管存快速计算方法可快速、精确的掌握天然气管道内的管存变化情况,在保障天然气管网的安全平稳运行与管存资产的精细化管理方面提供了数据与技术支撑,有助于辅助管网公司监测进出气不平衡状态,实现管网基础设施的公平开放。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective Pipelines are essential for the long-distance natural gas transportation and play a crucial role in national energy security. The linepack, as a comprehensive operational parameter for natural gas pipeline networks, embodies both safety and economic attributes. However, the existing steady-state linepack calculation method is only applicable under stable working conditions and lacks sufficient accuracy during variable operations, failing to address the unsteady characteristics of pipeline networks. Additionally, the dynamic linepack calculation method relies on complex online simulation systems, resulting in low calculation efficiency and challenges in meeting practical application needs.
    Methods A rapid calculation method for linepack of natural gas was proposed by coupling data and mechanism models. First, the significance of the linepack index for the safe and efficient operation of the natural gas pipeline network was analyzed. Subsequently, based on pipeline industry standards and numerical simulation principles, a detailed comparison was made between traditional steady-state and dynamic linepack calculation methods, focusing on numerical accuracy, calculation efficiency, and applicable working conditions. To address the shortcomings of traditional methods in balancing accuracy and efficiency, a mechanism model was embedded within a data model and combined with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). This approach enabled efficient calculation of sequential linepack data, overcoming the poor generalization of pure data models and the low calculation efficiency of pure mechanism models.
    Results The rapid linepack calculation method utilizing coupled data and mechanism models was applied to an in-service natural gas pipeline in China. Three coupling modes for the LSTM and the numerical linepack calculation model, including correction, embedding, and integration, were compared. Results indicated that the maximum linepack calculation deviation for the embedding mode was 0.76×104 m3, significantly lower than that of the correction and integration modes. The rapid calculation method based on the embedding mode demonstrated significant advantages over traditional linepack calculation methods in accuracy and speed. It eliminated the need for complex online simulation systems, facilitated modular and lightweight linepack deployment, and validated the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
    Conclusion The rapid calculation method for dynamic linepack, with coupled data and mechanism models, enables quick and accurate monitoring of natural gas linepack changes. This provides essential data and technical support for the safe, stable operation of natural gas pipeline networks and refined linepack management, assisting pipeline network companies in detecting inlet-outlet imbalances and ensuring fair access to pipeline network infrastructure.

     

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