燕冰川, 冯庆善, 张宏, 杨悦, 张晗, 孙晁, 陈健, 刘啸奔. 脆弱性评价方法及其在油气管道行业的应用[J]. 油气储运, 2023, 42(6): 612-623. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2023.06.002
引用本文: 燕冰川, 冯庆善, 张宏, 杨悦, 张晗, 孙晁, 陈健, 刘啸奔. 脆弱性评价方法及其在油气管道行业的应用[J]. 油气储运, 2023, 42(6): 612-623. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2023.06.002
YAN Bingchuan, FENG Qingshan, ZHANG Hong, YANG Yue, ZHANG Han, SUN Chao, CHEN Jian, LIU Xiaoben. Vulnerability assessment method and its application in oil and gas pipeline industry[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2023, 42(6): 612-623. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2023.06.002
Citation: YAN Bingchuan, FENG Qingshan, ZHANG Hong, YANG Yue, ZHANG Han, SUN Chao, CHEN Jian, LIU Xiaoben. Vulnerability assessment method and its application in oil and gas pipeline industry[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2023, 42(6): 612-623. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2023.06.002

脆弱性评价方法及其在油气管道行业的应用

Vulnerability assessment method and its application in oil and gas pipeline industry

  • 摘要: 脆弱性评价方法是用于探究系统安全状态变化过程的评价方法,在灾害管理、生态学、工程学等领域应用广泛,近年来逐渐受到油气管道行业关注。对脆弱性概念进行了全面调研,厘清了脆弱性概念的发展及其演变过程,总结了现阶段不同领域应用脆弱性的主要内涵。对比了国内外脆弱性评价的定性与定量方法,并剖析了各种方法的优缺点、适用范围及面临的关键问题。从脆弱性内涵、评价指标体系、评价方法3个方面,详细梳理了脆弱性评价方法在油气管道行业的应用情况。结果表明:脆弱性评价方法随着其研究对象、学科视角的差异性,造成了其在概念界定、实际内涵及评价方法方面的差异性;在油气管道行业中,脆弱性评价方法尚处于起步阶段,亟需建立统一的油气管道系统脆弱性概念及评价体系。与国外相比,中国油气管道脆弱性研究发展相对滞后,评价方法多以定性或半定量评价研究为主,指标等级划分及指标分值的确定缺乏科学的标准,今后需重点关注定量评价模型的建立与完善。

     

    Abstract: The vulnerability assessment method is mainly used to explore the security process of a system, with wide application in the fields of hazard management, ecology and engineering. It has been gradually concerned by the oil and gas pipeline industry in recent years. Therefore, a comprehensive survey was conducted for the concepts of vulnerability, the concept development and evolution process of vulnerability was clarified, and the main connotations of vulnerability applied in different fields presently were summarized. The qualitative and quantitative vulnerability assessment methods at domestic and abroad were compared, with their advantages, disadvantages, applicable scope and key issues analyzed.Meanwhile, the application of vulnerability assessment methods in the oil and gas pipeline industry was sorted out in detail from the 3 aspects of vulnerability connotation, assessment index system and assessment method. The results indicate that the vulnerability assessment method varies with the research object and the disciplinary perspective in terms of the concept definition, the actual connotation and the assessment method. In the oil and gas pipeline industry, the vulnerability assessment method is still in the preliminary stage, and it is urgent to establish a unified vulnerability concept and assessment system for the oil and gas pipeline system. Compared with foreign research, the development of pipeline vulnerability research in China is relatively lagging, the assessment methods are mainly qualitative or semi-quantitative, and no scientific standard is available for the classification of index grades and the determination of index scores. Therefore, it is necessary to focus on the establishment and improvement of quantitative assessment models in the future.

     

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