闫浩良. 俄乌冲突背景下中国利用俄罗斯储气库调峰的思考[J]. 油气储运, 2022, 41(12): 1470-1474. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2022.12.014
引用本文: 闫浩良. 俄乌冲突背景下中国利用俄罗斯储气库调峰的思考[J]. 油气储运, 2022, 41(12): 1470-1474. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2022.12.014
YAN Haoliang. Thinking on peak sheaving in China with Russian gas storage under the background of Russia-Ukraine conflict[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2022, 41(12): 1470-1474. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2022.12.014
Citation: YAN Haoliang. Thinking on peak sheaving in China with Russian gas storage under the background of Russia-Ukraine conflict[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2022, 41(12): 1470-1474. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2022.12.014

俄乌冲突背景下中国利用俄罗斯储气库调峰的思考

Thinking on peak sheaving in China with Russian gas storage under the background of Russia-Ukraine conflict

  • 摘要: 俄乌冲突对全球能源市场及地缘政治都产生了深远影响,同样给中国能源安全带来重大挑战。2022年冬季,欧洲获取全球LNG的力度走强在所难免,LNG价格维持高位势所必然,中国LNG进口量将有所下降,使冬季保供尤其是冬季高月峰值期间的保供面临严峻挑战。因欧洲减少俄罗斯油气进口量而使俄罗斯1 100×108 m3储气库的工作气量相当一部分无用武之地,故在中国储气库储气能力明显不足的情况下,讨论了使俄罗斯储气库赋予工作气量参与中国供气市场调峰的可行性,提出3条路径:(1)通过中亚管道实行串换;(2)在俄罗斯国内进行LNG串换;(3)提升中俄东线输气能力并使之满负荷运行,同时提出俄罗斯需严格按照合同约定气质质量供气的要求。相关建议可为2022年冬季保供提供借鉴。

     

    Abstract: The Russia–Ukraine conflict has imposed a profound impact on the global energy market and geopolitics, and also brings about a major challenge to China's energy security. In the winter of 2022, it is inevitable for Europe to have stronger access to global LNG, and its price will be at high price. Thus, the LNG import of China will be decreased, thus bringing severe challenges to supply guarantee in the winter, especially during the peak months of this winter. Due to the reduction of Russian oil and gas imports by Europe, a considerable volume of the working gas of Russia's gas storage(1 100×108 m3) becomes useless. Therefore, the feasibility of utilizing the working gas of Russia's gas storage for peak sheaving of China's gas supply market was discussed under the condition of obviously insufficient capacity of China's gas storage. Hence, three approaches were proposed, including(1) gas exchanging by Central Asia-China Gas Pipeline, (2) LNG interchange in Russia, and(3) increasing gas transportation capacity of China–Russia Eastern Gas Pipeline to realize operation at full load. Meanwhile, requirement was put forward for Russia to supply gas supply with the quality in strict accordance with the contract. Generally, the relevant recommendations could provide reference for the supply guarantee in the winter of 2022.

     

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