蒲宏斌, 汪鑫, 焦建. 金坛储气库井筒风险因素识别及结构重要度分析[J]. 油气储运, 2022, 41(9): 1014-1020. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2022.09.003
引用本文: 蒲宏斌, 汪鑫, 焦建. 金坛储气库井筒风险因素识别及结构重要度分析[J]. 油气储运, 2022, 41(9): 1014-1020. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2022.09.003
PU Hongbin, WANG Xin, JIAO Jian. Identification and structural importance evaluation of wellbore risk factors in Jintan Gas Storage[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2022, 41(9): 1014-1020. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2022.09.003
Citation: PU Hongbin, WANG Xin, JIAO Jian. Identification and structural importance evaluation of wellbore risk factors in Jintan Gas Storage[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2022, 41(9): 1014-1020. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2022.09.003

金坛储气库井筒风险因素识别及结构重要度分析

Identification and structural importance evaluation of wellbore risk factors in Jintan Gas Storage

  • 摘要: 金坛储气库井筒因盐岩蠕变、注采压力波动频繁、地下水丰富等因素,较常规天然气井筒面临更大的失效风险,常规评价方法及结论难以适应其安全评价和管控需求。基于金坛储气库地理位置条件及井筒实际运行状态,识别出注采压力波动频繁、交变载荷、地下水丰富、盐岩蠕变等10项金坛储气库井筒特有的风险因素;考虑各风险因素可能引发的失效模式,建立金坛储气库井筒失效故障树;并对井筒结构重要度进行计算及排序。结果表明:金坛储气库井筒失效的最大风险因素为注采气压力波动频繁,较常规天然气井的最大风险因素是酸性环境发生了显著变化;在识别出的10项金坛储气库井筒特有的风险因素中,有5项特有风险在底事件结构重要度排序中占前10,可见金坛储气库井筒的失效风险多来自自身运行特征与地理位置因素。最后在常规天然气井筒管理的基础上,有针对性地提出金坛储气库井筒风险管控措施。

     

    Abstract: The wellbore of Jintan Gas Storage faces more failure risks than conventional natural gas wellbore due to its salt rock creep, frequent fluctuations of injection-production pressure, and abundant groundwater, which makes their safety evaluation and control requirements hard to be met by the conventional evaluation methods and conclusions. Herein, 10 specific risk factors of the wellbore of Jintan Gas Storage, including frequent fluctuation of injection-production pressure, alternating load, abundant groundwater and salt rock creep, were identified based on the geographical conditions of Jintan Gas Storage and the actual operation state of the wellbore. Meanwhile, the fault tree of Jintan Gas Storage wellbore was established with consideration of the possible failure modes caused by various risk factors, and the structural importance of wellbore was calculated and ranked. The results show that the maximum risk factor of wellbore failure in Jintan Gas Storage is the frequent fluctuation of injection-production gas pressure, which is significantly different from the sour environment of conventional natural gas wells. Among the 10 identified risk factors specific to the wellbore of Jintan UGS, 5 unique risks are ranked in the top 10 of the structural importance of the bottom event, which indicates that the failure risk of the wellbore of Jintan Gas Storage mostly comes from its own operating characteristics and geographic location. Finally, targeted measures for wellbore risk control of Jintan Gas Storage were put forward based on the management of conventional natural gas wellbore.

     

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