碳中和背景下“十四·五”时期燃气行业发展趋势
Development trend of gas industry during the 14th Five-Year Plan period in the context of carbon neutrality
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摘要: 随着天然气利用规模不断扩大, 中国燃气行业发展迅猛, 输配系统日益完善、燃气普及率稳步提升, 但也出现了行业格局碎片化、经营管理水平良莠不齐、配气成本管控难以全面落地等难题。在碳中和背景下, 燃气行业面临着可再生能源替代的机遇和挑战。通过梳理中国燃气行业发展概况, 并结合碳中和背景下天然气产业整体发展趋势, 分析了燃气行业发展环境及前景, 提出了碳中和背景下燃气行业“十四·五”时期在管理提升、产业拓展、低碳转型等方面的对策及建议: ①全面推行完整性管理, 切实提升安全管控水平; ②顺应能源结构转型趋势, 加快综合能源转型步伐; ③充分发挥数据效力, 加速构建智慧燃气企业; ④因地制宜引导行业规模化整合, 奠定均衡化服务与成本管控的基础; ⑤借鉴油气管网独立运营的成功经验, 逐步推进燃气行业配售分离; ⑥积极把握天然气产业链的投资机遇, 实现协同发展。该研究成果可为燃气行业“十四·五”时期的大力发展及低碳转型提供参考。Abstract: With the continuous expansion of the utilization scale of natural gas, China's gas industry is developed rapidly.Specifically, the gas transmission and distribution system is improved gradually and the gas popularity rate is increased steadily. Meanwhile, problems such as fragmented industry pattern, uneven level of operation and management, and difficulty in cost control of gas distribution are presented. In the context of carbon neutrality, the opportunities and challenges of renewable energy substitution are brought to the industry. Therefore, the development of the gas industry in China was reviewed, and the development environment and outlook of gas industry were summarized and analyzed with reference to the overall development trend of gas industry in the context of carbon neutrality. In addition, the countermeasures and suggestions of the gas industry in terms of management improvement, industrial expansion and low-carbon transformation during the 14th Five-Year Plan period in the context of carbon neutrality were put forward: (1) The integrity management should be fully implemented to effectively improve the safety control.(2) The trend of energy structure transformation should be followed to accelerate the comprehensive energy transformation.(3) The role of data should be fully played, and the construction of intelligent gas enterprises should be speeded up.(4) The large-scale integration of industries should be initiated according to the local conditions, so as to lay a foundation for the balanced service and cost control.(5) The distribution and retail of gas industry should be separated by reference to the successful experience of independent operation of oil and gas pipeline networks.(6) The investment opportunities of natural gas industry chain should be actively grasped to achieve coordinated development. Generally, the research results could provide reference for the vigorous development and low carbon transformation of gas industry during the 14th Five-Year Plan period.