崔巍, 杨亮亮, 夏荣, 孙家庆, 樊晓伟. “一带一路”背景下海上天然气运输通道的安全评价[J]. 油气储运, 2021, 40(12): 1430-1440. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.12.015
引用本文: 崔巍, 杨亮亮, 夏荣, 孙家庆, 樊晓伟. “一带一路”背景下海上天然气运输通道的安全评价[J]. 油气储运, 2021, 40(12): 1430-1440. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.12.015
CUI Wei, YANG Liang-liang, XIA Rong, SUN Jia-qing, FAN Xiao-wei. Safety evaluation of offshore gas transport channels along the Belt and Road[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2021, 40(12): 1430-1440. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.12.015
Citation: CUI Wei, YANG Liang-liang, XIA Rong, SUN Jia-qing, FAN Xiao-wei. Safety evaluation of offshore gas transport channels along the Belt and Road[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2021, 40(12): 1430-1440. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.12.015

“一带一路”背景下海上天然气运输通道的安全评价

Safety evaluation of offshore gas transport channels along the Belt and Road

  • 摘要: “一带一路”建设对中国国际能源合作起到了积极推动作用, 结合“一带一路”合作实践对海上天然气运输通道进行安全评价, 具有重要的理论及实践价值。考虑到“一带一路”建设实践、天然气国家级合作及新冠疫情对国际天然气供应格局的影响, 将“一带一路”五通指数、天然气国家级协议及新冠疫情应用于评价模型指标的构建, 采用PP-RAGA-K-means算法进行求解, 对中国海上天然气通道安全性进行研究。结果表明: “一带一路”因素对中国海上天然气通道安全存在正面影响, 位于“一带一路”沿线且国力强盛的国家海上天然气通道更安全。研究结果为中国开展国际合作以及相关部门制定海上天然气运输安全保障措施提供了科学依据。

     

    Abstract: The Belt and Road works actively for promoting China's international energy cooperation. Hence, the safety evaluation of offshore gas transport channels with reference to the actual Belt and Road cooperation practice has an important theoretical and practical value. Taking into account the construction practice of the Belt and Road, the nationallevel natural gas cooperation, and the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the international natural gas supply pattern, research on the safety of offshore gas channels was performed with the evaluation model indicators determined based on the five connectivity indexes along the Belt and Road, the national gas agreement and the COVID-19 pandemic, and solution made by PP-RAGA-K-means algorithm. The research results show that the factor of "the Belt and Road" has a positive impact on the safety of China's offshore gas channels, and the national offshore gas channels that are located along the Belt and Road and where strong national strength is present are the safest. Conclusively, the research results provide a scientific basis for China to develop international cooperation and the relevant departments to formulate safety measures for offshore natural gas transportation.

     

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