唐海齐, 郭健, 夏庆, 陈枳君. LNG罐式集装箱事故后果模拟与定量风险评估[J]. 油气储运, 2021, 40(10): 1155-1160. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.10.010
引用本文: 唐海齐, 郭健, 夏庆, 陈枳君. LNG罐式集装箱事故后果模拟与定量风险评估[J]. 油气储运, 2021, 40(10): 1155-1160. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.10.010
TANG Haiqi, GUO Jian, XIA Qing, CHEN Zhijun. Accident consequence simulation and quantitative risk assessment of LNG tank container[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2021, 40(10): 1155-1160. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.10.010
Citation: TANG Haiqi, GUO Jian, XIA Qing, CHEN Zhijun. Accident consequence simulation and quantitative risk assessment of LNG tank container[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2021, 40(10): 1155-1160. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.10.010

LNG罐式集装箱事故后果模拟与定量风险评估

Accident consequence simulation and quantitative risk assessment of LNG tank container

  • 摘要: 随着LNG罐式集装箱的快速推广应用,研究其泄漏、火灾、爆炸等事故可能导致的后果影响及风险可接受程度具有重要意义。结合现有法规标准要求,以40 in(1 in=25.4 mm)的1AA型低温液体罐式集装箱为例,采用荷兰国家应用科学研究院的EFFECTS与RISKCURVES软件,模拟不同类型事故情景,预测事故后果的严重程度,并提出针对性的建议措施。通过对LNG罐式集装箱在不同泄漏事故场景下的模拟,给出了事故类型及其影响范围,计算得出多个LNG罐式集装箱叠加的个人风险与社会风险,对指导LNG罐式集装场站建设、完善相关事故应急预案以及风险管理具有积极的指导意义。

     

    Abstract: With the rapid promotion and application of LNG tank containers, it's of great significance to study the impact of the consequences that may be caused due to its leakage, fire, explosion and other accidents, and the risk acceptability. With reference to the requirements of the existing regulations and standards, different types of accident scenarios were simulated with the EFFECTS and RISKCURVES software of Netherlands Organization for Applied Scientific Research based on the 40 in (1 in=25.4 mm). 1 AA cryogenic liquid tank container. In addition, the severity of accident consequences was predicted, and the targeted suggestions and measures were put forward. By simulating the LNG tank container in different accident scenarios, the types of accident and their influence range were defined, and the personal and social risks of multiple LNG tank containers were calculated, which are of positive significance to guide the construction of LNG tank container station and improve the contingency plan and risk management of relevant accidents.

     

/

返回文章
返回