梁昌晶, 谢波, 刘延庆, 刘志娟, 郭自强, 任春燕, 陈琼陶, 刘钇池. 基于KPCA-GWO-SVM的埋地管道土壤腐蚀速率预测[J]. 油气储运, 2021, 40(8): 938-944. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.08.016
引用本文: 梁昌晶, 谢波, 刘延庆, 刘志娟, 郭自强, 任春燕, 陈琼陶, 刘钇池. 基于KPCA-GWO-SVM的埋地管道土壤腐蚀速率预测[J]. 油气储运, 2021, 40(8): 938-944. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.08.016
LIANG Changjing, XIE Bo, LIU Yanqing, LIU Zhijuan, GUO Ziqiang, REN Chunyan, CHEN Qiongtao, LIU Yichi. Prediction of soil corrosion rate of buried pipeline based on KPCA-GWO-SVM[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2021, 40(8): 938-944. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.08.016
Citation: LIANG Changjing, XIE Bo, LIU Yanqing, LIU Zhijuan, GUO Ziqiang, REN Chunyan, CHEN Qiongtao, LIU Yichi. Prediction of soil corrosion rate of buried pipeline based on KPCA-GWO-SVM[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2021, 40(8): 938-944. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.08.016

基于KPCA-GWO-SVM的埋地管道土壤腐蚀速率预测

Prediction of soil corrosion rate of buried pipeline based on KPCA-GWO-SVM

  • 摘要: 为提高埋地管道土壤腐蚀速率的预测精度,对土壤腐蚀的影响因素进行了梳理和分析。通过核主成分分析法(Kernel Principle Component Analysis,KPCA)对影响因素进行了数据降维,随后对支持向量机(Support Vector Machine,SVM)关键参数进行了寻优,并将GWO-SVM、GASVM、PSO-SVM及FOA-SVM共4种模型进行了对比。结果表明:KPCA模型可有效降低预测模型的维度,其中土壤电阻率、氧化还原电位、含盐量、Cl-质量分数及含水量5种因素对腐蚀影响较大;GWO-SVM的平均绝对误差和均方根误差最小,分别为1.90%、0.098 909,且训练时间在4种模型中用时最少,仅为2.55 s。可见,KPCA-GWO-SVM模型更适合对埋地管道土壤腐蚀速率进行预测,研究结果可为管道完整性管理提供理论依据和实际参考。

     

    Abstract: In order to improve the prediction accuracy of soil corrosion rate of buried pipelines, the influencing factors of soil corrosion were sorted out and analyzed. The data dimensionality of influencing factors was reduced by Kernel Principal Component Analysis (KPCA), the key parameters of the Support Vector Machine (SVM) were optimized, and comparison was made among the four models of GWO-SVM, GA-SVM, PSO-SVM and FOA-SVM. The results show that the KPCA model can effectively reduce the dimensionality of the prediction model, in which the five factors, i.e., the soil resistivity, REDOX potential, salt content, Cl- mass fraction and water content, have a great influence on pipeline corrosion. In addition, GWO-SVM has the smallest mean absolute error and root mean square error, which are 1.90% and 0.098 909, respectively, and it takes the minimum training time (2.55 s) among the four models. Therefore, the KPCA-GWO-SVM model is better for the prediction of soil corrosion rate of buried pipelines, and the research results could provide theoretical basis and practical reference for pipeline integrity management.

     

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