梁萌, 张燕云, 彭盈盈, 孙黎, 张奇, 李波. 乌兹别克斯坦天然气出口与过境运输分析[J]. 油气储运, 2021, 40(5): 500-508. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.05.003
引用本文: 梁萌, 张燕云, 彭盈盈, 孙黎, 张奇, 李波. 乌兹别克斯坦天然气出口与过境运输分析[J]. 油气储运, 2021, 40(5): 500-508. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.05.003
LIANG Meng, ZHANG Yanyun, PENG Yingying, SUN Li, ZHANG Qi, LI Bo. Analysis of natural gas export and transit transport in Uzbekistan[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2021, 40(5): 500-508. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.05.003
Citation: LIANG Meng, ZHANG Yanyun, PENG Yingying, SUN Li, ZHANG Qi, LI Bo. Analysis of natural gas export and transit transport in Uzbekistan[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2021, 40(5): 500-508. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.05.003

乌兹别克斯坦天然气出口与过境运输分析

Analysis of natural gas export and transit transport in Uzbekistan

  • 摘要: 中亚是“一带一路”重点合作区与互联互通核心区。乌兹别克斯坦地处中亚枢纽位置,是地缘政治支轴国,在中亚地区能源地缘政治格局中具有重要的战略地位。从天然气跨境管道、出口与运输、能源战略等方面介绍了乌兹别克斯坦的出口国与过境国地位,以及其对中国的地缘影响。基于通道权视角,提出加强中国进口通道应急能力、保障能源供应安全的建议。乌兹别克斯坦天然气管输设施发达,过境输能近1 400×108 m3/a,可匹敌乌克兰,对土库曼斯坦、中国、俄罗斯的天然气供需关系重大。随着中国与中亚、中东之间能源互动发展,乌兹别克斯坦影响力与通道权将逐步上升。建议重视乌兹别克斯坦发展战略,通过能源合作强化相互依赖,弱化通道权力优势,从进口来源多元化、通道路由多选择性等提高能源通道体系的应急能力。

     

    Abstract: Central Asia is a key cooperation zone and a core connectivity area of the Belt and Road. Uzbekistan, located at the pivotal position in Central Asia, is a geopolitical pivot country and plays a critical role in the energy geopolitical pattern in the region. In this study, the position of Uzbekistan as an exporter and a transit country, as well as its geographical influence on China, was introduced from the aspects of cross-border gas pipelines, gas export and transportation and energy strategy, and from the perspective of its energy corridor power, recommendations were put forward to strengthen China's emergency response capabilities of energy-importing corridor and energy supply security. As the gas pipeline facilities of Uzbekistan are well developed with a gas transit capacity closing to 1 400×108 m3/a, which is comparable to that of Ukraine, it has a significant geopolitical influence on the gas supply and demand relationship among Turkmenistan, China and Russia. With the development of China's energy interaction with Central Asia and the Middle East, Uzbekistan's influence and energy corridor power will increase gradually. Thus, it is recommended for China to pay more attention to the development strategy of Uzbekistan, to strengthen interdependence through energy cooperation, to weaken its geopolitical power advantages, and to enhance the emergency capacity of the energy transport system with the diversified sources of energy imports and the multiple routes available.

     

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