赵堂玉. 2020年中国天然气产业链发展回顾及展望[J]. 油气储运, 2021, 40(4): 371-376. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.04.002
引用本文: 赵堂玉. 2020年中国天然气产业链发展回顾及展望[J]. 油气储运, 2021, 40(4): 371-376. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.04.002
ZHAO Tangyu. Review and prospect of China's natural gas industry chain in 2020[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2021, 40(4): 371-376. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.04.002
Citation: ZHAO Tangyu. Review and prospect of China's natural gas industry chain in 2020[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2021, 40(4): 371-376. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2021.04.002

2020年中国天然气产业链发展回顾及展望

Review and prospect of China's natural gas industry chain in 2020

  • 摘要: 在突发新冠疫情及国家石油天然气管网集团有限公司成立的背景下,回顾了2020年中国天然气产业链的发展,并展望了2021年天然气行业的发展前景。2020年,中国天然气表观消费量达到3238×108m3,同比增长5.5%;国产气增储上产态势良好,产量达到1886×108m3,同比增长8.4%;进口天然气增速创新低,进口管道气与进口LNG合计为1363×108m3,同比仅增长3.1%,对外依存度继续下降。2021年,随着新冠疫苗大规模接种,中国生产生活秩序全面恢复,加之环保政策的驱动,与2020年的天然气需求增量与增速水平相比,2021年将有明显回升,预测市场需求增速将达到8.6%。最后,针对中国天然气产业链发展,提出3点建议:①加快储气设施建设进度;②统一协调中国不同公司长贸资源的采购行为;③冬季对居民用气、非居民用气实行统一的上浮比例。

     

    Abstract: Under the context of COVID-19 pandemic and PipeChina establishment, this paper reviews the development of China's natural gas industry chain in 2020 and explores its development prospect in 2021. In 2020, the apparent consumption of natural gas in China reached 3 238×108 m3, with a year-on-year growth of 5.5%, and the reserve and production of domestic gas was well increased, reaching a production of 1 886×108 m3 and realizing a year-on-year growth of 8.4%. However, the growth rate of imported natural gas reached an all-time low, with the imported pipeline gas and LNG totaling 1 363×108 m3 at a year-on-year growth of 3.1% only, and the external dependence declined continuously. In 2021, with the large-scale vaccination of COVID-19 vaccine, the order of domestic production and living is fully restored. Further, with the drive of favorable environmental policies, the increment and growth of natural gas demand rises significantly compared to that in 2020, and it was predicted that the growth rate of market demand will reach 8.6% in 2021. Finally, in view of the development of China's natural gas industry chain, the following three suggestions were put forward: (1) speeding up the construction of gas storage facilities, (2) unifying and coordinating the procurement of long-term trade resources of different domestic companies, and (3) implementing a unified floating ratio for the residential and non-residential gas in winter.

     

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