高振宇. 基于社会网络分析的中国天然气市场研究[J]. 油气储运, 2020, 39(6): 697-703. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2020.06.015
引用本文: 高振宇. 基于社会网络分析的中国天然气市场研究[J]. 油气储运, 2020, 39(6): 697-703. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2020.06.015
GAO Zhenyu. Research on China's natural gas market based on Social Network Analysis[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2020, 39(6): 697-703. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2020.06.015
Citation: GAO Zhenyu. Research on China's natural gas market based on Social Network Analysis[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2020, 39(6): 697-703. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2020.06.015

基于社会网络分析的中国天然气市场研究

Research on China's natural gas market based on Social Network Analysis

  • 摘要: 中国各省、各气源在全国天然气市场的中心度及重要性存在明显差异,为明确各省天然气市场的联系及各省、各气源的中心度及重要性,引入社会网络分析法(Social Network Analysis,SNA),对比分析了2005年与2010—2018年中国天然气市场中心度、派系、关联度的变化情况,中国天然气市场网络演变情况及中俄东线建成投产对中国天然气市场的影响,提出以下建议:增强除新疆、陕西以外省份天然气的增储上产,避免供应过于集中;加快天然气大型骨干管网和“互联互通”工程建设,增加东北、西北等地区市场联结程度;加强“北气南下”流向天然气管道的规划建设工作,增加华南、华中等地区在中国天然气网络中的重要性和联结性。分析结果可为未来中国天然气市场培育重点区域及长输管道建设重点区域的选择提供参考。

     

    Abstract: The centrality and importance of each province and each gas source varies greatly in the national natural gas market. In order to demonstrate the connection between the natural gas markets in various provinces, as well as the importance and centrality of each province and each gas source, the Social Network Analysis (SNA) was introduced to deeply analyze the changes of centrality, factions and relevancy of China's natural gas market from 2010 to 2018 (compared with 2005), the evolution of China's natural gas market network and the impact of the completion of China-Russia Eastern Gas Pipeline on China's natural gas market. The following suggestions were put forward: increasing the natural gas storage and production in provinces except Xinjiang and Shaanxi to avoid over-concentration of supply, accelerating the construction of large-scale trunk gas pipelines and "interconnection" projects to increase market connectivity between northeast, northwest and other regions and strengthening the planning and construction of gas pipelines flowing from "north to south" to reinforce the importance and connectivity of South and Central China in China's natural gas network. The analysis results can provide reference suggestions for the selection of key areas for natural gas market cultivation and longdistance pipeline construction in China in the future.

     

/

返回文章
返回