王霞, 段庆全. 基于改进层次分析法的油气管道风险因素权重计算[J]. 油气储运, 2019, 38(11): 1227-1231. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2019.11.004
引用本文: 王霞, 段庆全. 基于改进层次分析法的油气管道风险因素权重计算[J]. 油气储运, 2019, 38(11): 1227-1231. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2019.11.004
WANG Xia, DUAN Qingquan. A method for calculating the weight of oil and gas pipeline risk factor based on improved analytic hierarchy process[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2019, 38(11): 1227-1231. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2019.11.004
Citation: WANG Xia, DUAN Qingquan. A method for calculating the weight of oil and gas pipeline risk factor based on improved analytic hierarchy process[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2019, 38(11): 1227-1231. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2019.11.004

基于改进层次分析法的油气管道风险因素权重计算

A method for calculating the weight of oil and gas pipeline risk factor based on improved analytic hierarchy process

  • 摘要: 准确评估各个风险因素的相对重要程度是油气管道风险分析的关键。针对采用层次分析法确定比较矩阵三标度法和九标度法存在的问题,提出了五标度法原则,并结合改进层次分析法计算油气管道安全风险的指标权重,进而判断指标的重要性,以期准确、快速地对油气管道安全状态进行分析和评价。通过对近几年国内公开报道的油气管道事故发生的原因进行整理、统计及分析,发现该方法计算的权重与统计结果高度吻合,验证了其准确性。

     

    Abstract: Accurate evaluation of the relative importance of various risk factors is the key to the risk analysis of oil and gas pipeline. To solve the problems existed in determining the comparison matrix by three-scale method and nine-scale method in the analytic hierarchy process, the principle of five-scale method was proposed, and combined with the improved analytic hierarchy process, the index weights of oil and gas pipeline risks were calculated. Then, the importance of the indexes was judged, so as to analyze and evaluate the safety status of oil and gas pipeline accurately and quickly. Finally, collation, statistics and analysis were carried out on the causes of oil and gas pipeline accidents reported publicly at home in recent years. It is shown that the weights calculated by this new method are highly consistent with the statistical results, which verifies the accuracy of the new method.

     

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