陈腾瀚. 中国主要海上能源通道风险刍议[J]. 油气储运, 2019, 38(11): 1212-1218. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2019.11.002
引用本文: 陈腾瀚. 中国主要海上能源通道风险刍议[J]. 油气储运, 2019, 38(11): 1212-1218. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2019.11.002
CHEN Tenghan. Brief analysis on the risks of China's main marine energy corridors[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2019, 38(11): 1212-1218. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2019.11.002
Citation: CHEN Tenghan. Brief analysis on the risks of China's main marine energy corridors[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2019, 38(11): 1212-1218. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2019.11.002

中国主要海上能源通道风险刍议

Brief analysis on the risks of China's main marine energy corridors

  • 摘要: 当前中国主要现行的和规划中的海上能源通道较多,具体航线则更为丰富。根据不同地理位置所涉及国家与区域的自然气候、政治经济等条件差异,各航线以及各航线内部各段水域所面临的主要风险不尽相同,其中既包含自然条件的限制,也包含其他传统安全与非传统安全因素的影响与威胁。能源对外依存度较高的现实使中国必须在认清各航道风险差异的同时采取因地制宜的策略。在选取了5条对中国能源安全至关重要的能源通道(航线)后,通过文献研究法和比较分析法,以定性研究的视角深入分析和阐述了这5条不同能源通道各自的具体风险以及不同风险的威胁程度,部分解决了此前相关研究缺乏针对性、特殊性及全面性的问题,而各能源通道内在风险不同并且其威胁性排序不同的结论对于相关行为主体制定应对策略具有一定的借鉴意义。

     

    Abstract: At present, China has more built-up and planned marine energy corridors and abundant specific routes. The national and regional natural climate, political economy and other conditions are different in different geographical locations, so the main risks faced by different routes and the water areas in the each route are different, including the limitation of natural conditions and the influence and threat of traditional and non-traditional security factors. The reality of high external energy dependence makes it necessary for China to recognize the risk differences of different waterways and take the suitable measures. In this paper, five energy corridors (routes) which are vital to China's energy security were selected as the research objects. Their specific risks and the threat degrees of different risks were analyzed and elaborated from the perspective of qualitative research by means of literature research method and comparative analysis method. The problem that previous researches are lack of pertinence, particularity and comprehensiveness was partially solved. The conclusion that the inherent risks of different energy corridors are different and their threat ranks are different is of certain guiding significance for the relevant behavior subjects to formulate appropriate coping strategies.

     

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