温文, 艾慕阳, 李煜津, 徐磊, 刘文会, 牛亚琨. 基于管网可靠度的天然气市场满意度评价[J]. 油气储运, 2019, 38(4): 385-391. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2019.04.005
引用本文: 温文, 艾慕阳, 李煜津, 徐磊, 刘文会, 牛亚琨. 基于管网可靠度的天然气市场满意度评价[J]. 油气储运, 2019, 38(4): 385-391. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2019.04.005
WEN Wen, AI Muyang, LI Yujin, XU Lei, LIU Wenhui, NIU Yakun. Evaluation on satisfaction of natural gas market based on pipeline network reliability[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2019, 38(4): 385-391. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2019.04.005
Citation: WEN Wen, AI Muyang, LI Yujin, XU Lei, LIU Wenhui, NIU Yakun. Evaluation on satisfaction of natural gas market based on pipeline network reliability[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2019, 38(4): 385-391. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2019.04.005

基于管网可靠度的天然气市场满意度评价

Evaluation on satisfaction of natural gas market based on pipeline network reliability

  • 摘要: 为了掌握天然气市场的供需态势,促进天然气行业发展,指导天然气管网建设规划,需要对天然气市场满意程度进行评价。天然气输送涉及基础设施设置、输送能力、安全性等,综合天然气管网供应能力和市场供需双方经济效益两方面因素,将管道供应可靠度与市场交易财务风险率相结合,构建了供需双方满意度评价方法:在一定供气量情况下,根据不同天然气用户的风险承受能力,按照用户用气优先保障顺序,分别对天然气用户和天然气管网系统的满意程度进行计算、对比,判断得出天然气市场的供需态势。运用基于管网可靠度的天然气市场满意度评价方法对某城市天然气市场进行满意度评价,结果表明:该方法是天然气市场有力的量化分析工具,能够量化供需双方的满意程度,进而掌握天然气市场的供需态势,为天然气销售、管网建设等提供决策依据。

     

    Abstract: In order to understand the supply and demand situation of natural gas market so as to promote the development ofnatural gas industry and guide the construction planning of gas pipeline network, it is necessary to evaluate the satisfactionof natural gas market. The transportation of natural gas involves in infrastructure setup, transportation capacity, safety andother aspects. After comprehensively considering the supply capacity of natural gas pipeline network and the supply anddemand economic benefits of natural gas market, the satisfaction evaluation method of natural gas supply and demand sidesis constructed by combing the supply reliability of pipeline with the economic risk of market trade. Under certain gas supplyconditions, the satisfactions of natural gas customers and pipeline network were calculated and compared according to the riskbearing capacity and gas priority guarantee order of customers. Thus the supply and demand situation of natural gas marketis judged. In this paper, the satisfaction of the natural gas market of one certain city was evaluated by means of the naturalgas market satisfaction evaluation method based on pipeline reliability. It is indicated that this natural gas market satisfactionevaluation method based on pipeline reliability is a powerful quantitative analysis tool of natural gas market and it can quantifythe satisfaction of supply and demand sides so as to understand the supply and demand situation of natural gas market andprovide the decision-making basis for the sale of natural gas and the construction of pipeline network.

     

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