周怀发, 申永亮, 张兴, 刘铭刚. 基于层次分析与集对分析法的LNG槽车区风险评价[J]. 油气储运, 2019, 38(3): 279-284. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2019.03.006
引用本文: 周怀发, 申永亮, 张兴, 刘铭刚. 基于层次分析与集对分析法的LNG槽车区风险评价[J]. 油气储运, 2019, 38(3): 279-284. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2019.03.006
ZHOU Huaifa, SHEN Yongliang, ZHANG Xing, LIU Minggang. Risk assessment on LNG tanker loading region based on analytical hierarchy process and set pair analysis theory[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2019, 38(3): 279-284. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2019.03.006
Citation: ZHOU Huaifa, SHEN Yongliang, ZHANG Xing, LIU Minggang. Risk assessment on LNG tanker loading region based on analytical hierarchy process and set pair analysis theory[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2019, 38(3): 279-284. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2019.03.006

基于层次分析与集对分析法的LNG槽车区风险评价

Risk assessment on LNG tanker loading region based on analytical hierarchy process and set pair analysis theory

  • 摘要: LNG槽车充装作业过程中一旦发生泄漏,极易引发燃烧甚至爆炸事故,破坏性极大。为了对LNG接收站槽车充装区进行科学合理的风险评价,从工艺、设备及管理3方面,选取阀门内漏情况、操作流程合理性、充装人员专业水平等16个指标,构建了LNG接收站槽车充装区风险评价指标体系;针对指标具有模糊性的特点,运用层次分析法确定各指标权重,建立了基于集对分析法的槽车充装区风险评价模型。将该风险评价模型用于山东某LNG接收站槽车充装区的风险评价,结果表明:该评价模型将定性分析与定量分析相结合,评价结果可靠,能够为LNG槽车充装工作的改进提供指导作用。

     

    Abstract: Once a leakage accident happens in the process ofLNG tanker loading, burning accident and even explosion can be induced very easily and their destructiveness is huge. In order to evaluate the risk in the tanker loading region ofLNG receiving terminal scientifically and reasonably, 16 indicators were selected from the aspects of process, equipment and management, such as the internal leakage of the valve, the rationality of the operation process and the professional level of the loading personnel, and the indicator system of risk assessment forLNG tanker loading region was constructed. Then, considering the ambiguity of the indicators, the weight of each indicator was determined by means of analytical hierarchy process. Finally, the risk assessment model for theLNG tanker loading region was established based on the set pair analysis theory. And this risk assessment model was applied to evaluate the risk in the tank loading region of oneLNG receiving terminal in Shandong. It is indicated that this newly established risk assessment model combines qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis together, and its evaluation results are reliable and can provide the guidance for the improvement ofLNG tanker loading.

     

/

返回文章
返回