闵元, 李晓平, 宫敬, 虞维超. 气液两相流管道内腐蚀失效概率计算方法[J]. 油气储运, 2018, 37(12): 1349-1356. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2018.12.005
引用本文: 闵元, 李晓平, 宫敬, 虞维超. 气液两相流管道内腐蚀失效概率计算方法[J]. 油气储运, 2018, 37(12): 1349-1356. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2018.12.005
MIN Yuan, LI Xiaoping, GONG Jing, YU Weichao. A calculation method for the failure probability of gas-liquid two-phase flow pipeline caused by internal corrosion[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2018, 37(12): 1349-1356. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2018.12.005
Citation: MIN Yuan, LI Xiaoping, GONG Jing, YU Weichao. A calculation method for the failure probability of gas-liquid two-phase flow pipeline caused by internal corrosion[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2018, 37(12): 1349-1356. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2018.12.005

气液两相流管道内腐蚀失效概率计算方法

A calculation method for the failure probability of gas-liquid two-phase flow pipeline caused by internal corrosion

  • 摘要: 气液两相流管道广泛存在于油气开采和集输过程中,确保其安全可靠运行具有重要的理论和工程意义。在所有失效类型中,内腐蚀缺陷是造成气液两相流管道结构失效的主要原因之一。将管道内腐蚀速率预测模型与结构可靠性评价方法相结合,对气液两相流管道进行内腐蚀失效概率计算:针对气液两相流的流动特征,采用流体相平衡模型、气液两相流模型及腐蚀速率预测模型,计算气液两相流管道在不同流型下的内腐蚀速率;基于ASME B31G-1991《腐蚀管道剩余强度评价方法》中推荐的腐蚀缺陷极限状态方程,考虑管道运行和制造中存在的不确定性,并结合腐蚀速率计算结果,采用蒙特卡洛方法计算管道发生小孔泄漏和爆裂的失效概率。将提出的内腐蚀失效概率计算方法应用于某气液两相流管道,结果表明当缺乏有效的内检测数据或实际管输工艺发生变化时,该方法能够有效预测失效概率,保障油气管道输送安全。

     

    Abstract: A gas-liquid two-phase flow pipeline is widely applied in oil and gas exploitation, gathering and transportation, so its safe and reliable operation is of vital significance in theory and engineering. Among all types of failures, the internal corrosion is one of the most important reasons for the structural failure of gas-liquid two-phase flow pipeline. In this paper, the pipeline internal corrosion rate prediction model and the structural reliability evaluation method were combined together to calculate the failure probability of gas-liquid two-phase pipeline caused by internal corrosion. Firstly, in view of the flowing characteristics of gas-liquid two-phase flow, the internal corrosion rates of gas-liquid two-phase flow pipeline under different flow patterns were calculated by means of fluid phase equilibrium model, gas-liquid two-phase flow model and corrosion rate prediction model. Then, considering the uncertainty of pipeline operation and manufacturing, the pipeline failure probability of small leak and burst was calculated by Monte Carlo approach based on the limit state function of corrosion defect recommended in the specification Manual for determing the remaining strength of corroded pipelines(ASME B31G-1991), combined with the calculated corrosion rates. Finally, this calculation method for internal corrosion induced failure probability was applied to one certain gas-liquid two-phase flow pipeline. By virtue of this method, the failure probability can be predicted effectively and the transportation safety of oil and gas pipelines can be ensured when there is no valid internal detection data or the actual pipeline transportation process changes.

     

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