冼国栋, 吴森, 潘国耀, 谭超. 油气管道滑坡灾害危险性评价指标体系[J]. 油气储运, 2018, 37(8): 865-872. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2018.08.004
引用本文: 冼国栋, 吴森, 潘国耀, 谭超. 油气管道滑坡灾害危险性评价指标体系[J]. 油气储运, 2018, 37(8): 865-872. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2018.08.004
XIAN Guodong, WU Sen, PAN Guoyao, TAN Chao. Hazard assessment index system of landslide disasters along oil and gas pipelines[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2018, 37(8): 865-872. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2018.08.004
Citation: XIAN Guodong, WU Sen, PAN Guoyao, TAN Chao. Hazard assessment index system of landslide disasters along oil and gas pipelines[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2018, 37(8): 865-872. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2018.08.004

油气管道滑坡灾害危险性评价指标体系

Hazard assessment index system of landslide disasters along oil and gas pipelines

  • 摘要: 为了实现管道滑坡灾害危险性的定量评价,以中国石油西南管道沿线64处典型滑坡为例,通过灾害影响因素分析,初步确定评价指标体系备选指标因子,利用贡献率模型,通过样本统计,分析滑坡灾害影响因子的敏感性。按照敏感性大小将影响因子划分为3级,最终保留中、高影响因子中可以通过野外调查手段获取的坡度、坡面形态、土体类型、历史滑塌、现今变形、土体状态、滑体厚度、降雨、地震烈度9个因子,构建了单体管道滑坡灾害危险性评价指标体系,从而为滑坡灾害危险性评价提供了依据。

     

    Abstract: In order to realize quantitative evaluation on the landslide hazards along pipelines, 64 typical landslide disasters along pipelines of PetroChina Southwest Pipeline Company were taken as examples in this paper. The candidate indexes of assessment index system were determined preliminarily by analyzing disaster influence factors. Then, the sensitivity of influence factors of landslide disasters was analyzed by means of sample statistics in the contribution ratio model. According to the sensitivity value, the influence factors are divided into three grades. And ultimately, 9 medium- and high-sensitivity influence factors that can be obtained by means of field investigation, i.e., slope, slope morphology, soil type, historical landslides, current deformation, soil state, landslide body thickness, rainfall and seismic intensity, are selected to build the hazard assessment index system of landslide disasters along single pipelines, providing the basis for the hazard assessment of landslide disasters.

     

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