张东明, 田光. 陕西省天然气供需平衡分析及对策[J]. 油气储运, 2017, 36(2): 132-137. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2017.02.002
引用本文: 张东明, 田光. 陕西省天然气供需平衡分析及对策[J]. 油气储运, 2017, 36(2): 132-137. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2017.02.002
ZHANG Dongming, TIAN Guang. Analysis of Shaanxi natural gas supply and demand balance and countermeasures[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2017, 36(2): 132-137. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2017.02.002
Citation: ZHANG Dongming, TIAN Guang. Analysis of Shaanxi natural gas supply and demand balance and countermeasures[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2017, 36(2): 132-137. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2017.02.002

陕西省天然气供需平衡分析及对策

Analysis of Shaanxi natural gas supply and demand balance and countermeasures

  • 摘要: 为了促进陕西省天然气市场协调发展,应对天然气供需矛盾,基于陕西省天然气供应量的组成、天然气消费量的增长情况以及逐年增大的供需缺口,分析了天然气长输管网的负荷分布、运行特点以及燃气用户的用气特征,总结出影响陕西省天然气供需平衡的3个主要因素:供应量与需求量不均衡,天然气管网负荷不均衡,现有用户需求变化不均衡。建立了陕西省天然气年需求量数学模型,预测了近3年陕西省天然气的消费量和调峰量,并基于预测结果,结合供需平衡影响因素,提出了解决措施:争取多种类、多方向的供气来源,扩大天然气市场,多级共担调峰,合理化用户结构。

     

    Abstract: To promote coordinated development of natural gas industry in Shaanxi Province, and eliminate the gap between natural gas supply and demand, the composition of natural gas supply, growth of natural gas consumption, and the ever increasing gap between natural gas supply and demand in Shaanxi Province have been reviewed. By analyzing the load distribution and operation characteristics of long-distance natural gas pipelines and gas consuming features of natural gas users, major factors that may affect the natural gas supply and demand balance in Shaanxi have been identified as the imbalance between natural gas supply and demand, imbalance in loads of natural gas pipelines, and imbalance in demands of end users. Accordingly, a mathematic model has been constructed to predict annual natural gas consumption and peak-shaving volume for the next three years in Shaanxi. With consideration to predicted volumes and major influential factors, countermeasures have been proposed. To maintain natural gas supply and demand balance in Shaanxi, it is necessary to secure natural gas supplies of various types from different directions. In addition, it is also necessary to expand the natural gas market and optimize structures of users to share peak-shaving tasks on different levels.

     

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