杨莉娜, 韩景宽, 王念榕, 何军. 中国LNG接收站的发展形势[J]. 油气储运, 2016, 35(11): 1148-1153. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2016.11.002
引用本文: 杨莉娜, 韩景宽, 王念榕, 何军. 中国LNG接收站的发展形势[J]. 油气储运, 2016, 35(11): 1148-1153. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2016.11.002
YANG Lina, HAN Jingkuan, WANG Nianrong, HE Jun. Development situations of LNG terminals in China[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2016, 35(11): 1148-1153. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2016.11.002
Citation: YANG Lina, HAN Jingkuan, WANG Nianrong, HE Jun. Development situations of LNG terminals in China[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2016, 35(11): 1148-1153. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2016.11.002

中国LNG接收站的发展形势

Development situations of LNG terminals in China

  • 摘要: 结合中国天然气工业发展现状及相关政策法规,分析了未来LNG市场发展空间的影响因素。有利因素:国家法规、政策支持天然气发展,LNG市场稳步增长;天然气价格市场化提振天然气市场需求,远期中国天然气市场规模潜力巨大。不利因素:经济发展转型“新常态”,天然气市场需求增速回落;国际油价持续下跌,天然气价格调整滞后,影响天然气需求增长;随着供应形势变化,气源间竞争愈加激烈。指出了LNG接收站业务面临的机遇和挑战:全球天然气液化能力提高,LNG资源充足;LNG现货及短期贸易蓬勃发展,进口LNG价格下降;LNG调峰需求巨大,成本相对较低。提出了国内LNG接收站建设发展思路及相关建议:以扩建现有接收站为主,适时增加储存容量和气化能力,积极参与市场调峰。

     

    Abstract: In this paper, the factors influencing the development of LNG markets in the future were analyzed by combining with the development situations of China's natural gas industry and the relevant policies, laws and regulations. It is favorable that LNG markets develop stably with the support of national laws, regulations and policies for the natural gas industry, and that the market demand of natural gas is impelled by the marketization of natural gas price, and in the long term, the natural gas market in China is of immense potential. However, some adverse factors exist. First, the increasing speed of the natural gas market demand decreases with the new normal in economic transformation. Second, the growth of natural gas demand is adversely influenced by the continuous falling of global oil price and the lagged adjustment of natural gas price. And third, the competition between gas sources becomes more and more intense with the change of supply situations. The business of LNG terminals is faced with both opportunities and challenges. First, LNG resource is sufficient as the natural gas liquefying capacity increases all over the world. Second, LNG spot goods and short-term trade flourish and LNG import price declines. And third, LNG peak shaving is in great demand and the cost is relatively low. Accordingly, it is recommended to develop China's LNG terminals by dominantly expanding the existing terminals, increasing storage volume and liquefying capacity properly and participating in market peak shaving actively.

     

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