黄海亮, 焦光伟, 甄翔, 王亚超, 聂桐. 基于IAHP法覆土储油罐区滑坡综合性风险评估[J]. 油气储运, 2015, 34(9): 939-944. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2015.09.005
引用本文: 黄海亮, 焦光伟, 甄翔, 王亚超, 聂桐. 基于IAHP法覆土储油罐区滑坡综合性风险评估[J]. 油气储运, 2015, 34(9): 939-944. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2015.09.005
HUANG Hailiang, JIAO Guangwei, ZHEN Xiang, WANG Yachao, NIE Tong. Comprehensive risk assessment on landslide in buried oil storage tank zone based on IAHP[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2015, 34(9): 939-944. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2015.09.005
Citation: HUANG Hailiang, JIAO Guangwei, ZHEN Xiang, WANG Yachao, NIE Tong. Comprehensive risk assessment on landslide in buried oil storage tank zone based on IAHP[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2015, 34(9): 939-944. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2015.09.005

基于IAHP法覆土储油罐区滑坡综合性风险评估

Comprehensive risk assessment on landslide in buried oil storage tank zone based on IAHP

  • 摘要: 通过分析滑坡灾害危险性和覆土储油罐区灾害引发的事故,选取地形地貌地质条件、罐区防护能力、灾害诱发条件、灾害历史条件4类14个滑坡灾害对覆土储油罐区影响较大的因素作为风险评价指标,利用传统层次分析法建立了指标体系。介绍了综合可拓方法原理和计算流程,提出了基于改进层次分析法覆土储油罐区滑坡综合性风险评估模型。利用Visual C# 2010 Express进行了适用于改进层次分析法确定权重的程序设计,简化了计算。以某油库覆土储油罐区为例进行验证,将滑坡对该覆土储油罐区风险等级划分为安全性好、较好、差、极差4级,参照相关文献,定量划分了14个风险指标危险性区间,利用提出的模型计算得出,虽然该储油罐区在降雨等方面面临威胁较大,但整体安全性较好,与实际调查结果较为吻合。

     

    Abstract: Through the analysis of landslide disaster risk and accidents induced by disaster in buried oil storage tank zone, 14 landslide disasters in 4 types (i.e. geomorphic and geological conditions, protection capacity in tank zone, induced disaster conditions, and historical disaster conditions) are selected as risk assessment indictors for factors which have major influences on buried oil tank zone. Traditional analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is used to establish the indicator system. The principle of comprehensive extension method and calculation process is presented. The comprehensive risk assessment model of landslide in buried oil storage tank zone based on the improved analytic hierarchy process (IAHP) is proposed. Visual C# 2010 Express is used to carry out program design which is suitable for IAHP to determine the weights, so as to simplify the calculation. Taking the buried oil storage tank in a tankfarm as an example, the risks of landslide in buried oil storage tank zone is rated into 4 levels: high, moderate, low, very low. According to relevant literatures, 14 risk intervals are divided quantitatively. The model-derived results show that although the oil storage tank zone is highly threatened by rainfall and others, it is generally safe, which matches the actual survey.

     

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