李毅, 王增国, 詹燕民, 高书鹏, 谷雨雷, 柴兆瑞, 王军. 基于Kent法的海底管道风险评价模型[J]. 油气储运, 2014, 33(12): 1307-1309. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2014.12.010
引用本文: 李毅, 王增国, 詹燕民, 高书鹏, 谷雨雷, 柴兆瑞, 王军. 基于Kent法的海底管道风险评价模型[J]. 油气储运, 2014, 33(12): 1307-1309. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2014.12.010
LI Yi, WANG Zengguo, ZHAN Yanmin, GAO Shupeng, GU Yulei, CHAI Zhaorui, WANG Jun. Kent risk assessment model of subsea pipeline[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2014, 33(12): 1307-1309. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2014.12.010
Citation: LI Yi, WANG Zengguo, ZHAN Yanmin, GAO Shupeng, GU Yulei, CHAI Zhaorui, WANG Jun. Kent risk assessment model of subsea pipeline[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2014, 33(12): 1307-1309. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2014.12.010

基于Kent法的海底管道风险评价模型

Kent risk assessment model of subsea pipeline

  • 摘要: 实施海底管道完整性管理,保证其安全可靠运行,对于海域环境安全和生产安全都具有重要意义。风险评价是海底管道完整性管理的核心工作,是实现风险预防管理的前提和基础。基于Kent法的基本原理,结合我国海底管道管理的实际情况,梳理划分了第三方破坏与机械损伤、腐蚀与冲蚀、结构与设计、误操作、自然与地质灾害5大类海底管道风险因素,设计了包含73个指标的风险评价指标体系,建立了半定量的海底管道风险评价模型,为海底管道完整性管理的实施奠定了基础。

     

    Abstract: Subsea pipeline integrity management is conducted to ensure the pipeline safety and reliability, which is extremely important for the environment and production safety offshore. Risk assessment, as the core of subsea pipeline integrity management, is the premise and foundation to realize risk prevention management. Based on the principles of Kent method, and combined with the actual situation of subsea pipeline management in China, risk factors for subsea pipelines are divided into five categories, the third-party damage and mechanical damage, corrosion and erosion, structure and design, maloperation, and natural and geological disasters. A risk assessment system with 73 indicators is designed, and the semi-quantitative risk assessment model of subsea pipeline is established, which laid the foundation for the subsea pipeline integrity management.

     

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