张宗杰, 苏怀. 干线天然气管道供气可靠性评价方法[J]. 油气储运, 2014, 33(9): 945-949. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2014.09.006
引用本文: 张宗杰, 苏怀. 干线天然气管道供气可靠性评价方法[J]. 油气储运, 2014, 33(9): 945-949. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2014.09.006
ZHANG Zongjie, SU Huai. Reliability evaluation method for gas trunk line[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2014, 33(9): 945-949. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2014.09.006
Citation: ZHANG Zongjie, SU Huai. Reliability evaluation method for gas trunk line[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2014, 33(9): 945-949. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2014.09.006

干线天然气管道供气可靠性评价方法

Reliability evaluation method for gas trunk line

  • 摘要: 干线天然气管道是我国重要的战略能源通道,其供气可靠性评价对于充分发挥整个干线天然气管道的社会经济效益起着举足轻重的作用,但国内对该领域的研究尚未起步。从供气可靠性的评价指标、计算模型两个方面展开调研、分析与整合,提出一种以供气可靠度为评价指标,基于“气源-管道系统-储气调峰-用户端”动态分析模型,通过水力热力模拟和统计学相结合的方法评价干线天然气管道供气可靠性,并对未来的供气系统可靠性评价提出具体建议和指导。

     

    Abstract: Gas trunk line is an important strategic energy channel in China. Its reliability evaluation is pivotal for achieving the social and economic benefits of the pipeline. However, this field of research has not yet started in China. In this paper, the reliability of gas trunk line is discussed from two aspects: evaluation index and calculation model. A dynamic analysis model based on "gas source-pipeline system-peak shaving-user" process and considering the gas supply reliability is established, which can be used to evaluate the reliability of gas trunk line by the combination of hydraulic and thermal simulation and statistics. Moreover, specific suggestions and guidance are put forward to the reliability evaluation of the gas supply system in the future.

     

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