温凯, 张文伟, 宫敬, 李恒东, 张振永, 赵博渊. 天然气管道可靠性的计算方法[J]. 油气储运, 2014, 33(7): 729-733. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2014.07.009
引用本文: 温凯, 张文伟, 宫敬, 李恒东, 张振永, 赵博渊. 天然气管道可靠性的计算方法[J]. 油气储运, 2014, 33(7): 729-733. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2014.07.009
WEN Kai, ZHANG Wenwei, GONG Jing, LI Hengdong, ZHANG Zhenyong, ZHAO Boyuan. Computation of gas pipeline reliability[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2014, 33(7): 729-733. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2014.07.009
Citation: WEN Kai, ZHANG Wenwei, GONG Jing, LI Hengdong, ZHANG Zhenyong, ZHAO Boyuan. Computation of gas pipeline reliability[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2014, 33(7): 729-733. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2014.07.009

天然气管道可靠性的计算方法

Computation of gas pipeline reliability

  • 摘要: 基于可靠性的设计和评价方法(RBDA)是天然气管道设计技术的发展方向,国内外学术界针对该方法的应用展开广泛研究。针对天然气管道基于可靠性设计与评价方法所涉及的理论内容,研究了管道可靠性的分析过程,给出了极限状态方程蒙特卡罗仿真的通用算法,建立了管道可靠度计算软件框架,并以CSA Z662附录O中提供的无缺陷管道屈服和破裂极限状态函数为例对某输气管道进行可靠度计算和参数的敏感性分析。最后,根据分析结果,对管道的设计和管理提出可行性建议。提出的计算方法将方程与仿真计算分离,适合将更多的方程列入计算框架中,可以对管道的可靠性进行全面分析。

     

    Abstract: The reliability-based design and assessment (RBDA) method is the prospect of natural gas pipeline design. It is studied intensively by domestic and overseas academic communities. According to the theory involved in RBDA, analysis procedure of pipeline reliability is investigated, universal algorithm of limit state equation of Monte-Carol simulation is provided, and the calculation software framework for pipeline reliability is established. Taking the yield and fracture limit state function of zero defect pipe provided in Appendix O of CSA Z662 as an example, calculation of reliability and sensitivity analysis of parameters of an actual gas pipeline are implemented. Finally, based on the analysis results, feasible suggestions for the pipeline design and management are proposed. The computational method proposed separates the equation and simulation calculation, which is suitable to list more equations in the computing framework, so that a comprehensive analysis can be made for pipeline reliability.

     

/

返回文章
返回