韩克江, 帅健, 石磊, 马彬. 大型原油储罐内检测周期的预测方法[J]. 油气储运, 2013, 32(2): 189-195. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2013.02.017
引用本文: 韩克江, 帅健, 石磊, 马彬. 大型原油储罐内检测周期的预测方法[J]. 油气储运, 2013, 32(2): 189-195. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2013.02.017
HAN Kejiang, SHUAI Jian, SHI Lei, MA Bin. Prediction method for internal detection cycle of large-scale oil tank[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2013, 32(2): 189-195. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2013.02.017
Citation: HAN Kejiang, SHUAI Jian, SHI Lei, MA Bin. Prediction method for internal detection cycle of large-scale oil tank[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2013, 32(2): 189-195. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2013.02.017

大型原油储罐内检测周期的预测方法

Prediction method for internal detection cycle of large-scale oil tank

  • 摘要: 基于时间的定期检测方法往往导致大型原油储罐的失修或过修,如何确定合理的原油储罐内检测周期对于平衡原油储罐的安全运行要求和检测费用具有重要意义。提出了基于RBI技术的内检测周期预测方法,研究发现随着可接受风险的增加,预测的储罐内检测周期也逐渐增加。介绍了确定原油储罐可接受风险的方法,并通过此方法确定3.54×104为原油储罐的可接受风险值。对于腐蚀相对严重且内检测周期较短的储罐,与RBI方法相比,基于Gumbel方法预测的内检测周期相对保守。与基于RBI技术预测的内检测周期相比,国内标准SY/T 5921-2000对储罐内检测周期的要求较保守,推荐采用基于RBI技术确定原油储罐的内检测周期。

     

    Abstract: Time-based periodic inspection method frequently results in disrepair or over-repair for large-scale oil tank, therefore, how to rationally determine the internal inspection period for oil tank is of significance to balance the running requirements and inspection investments for oil tank. RBI technology-based prediction method of internal detection cycle is proposed. Researches have shown that predicted internal detection cycle for storage tanks increases with the expansion of acceptable risks. A method for determining acceptable risks of crude storage tanks is proposed to determine 3.54×104 as the acceptable risk value of crude storage tanks. For storage tanks with relatively serious corrosion and short internal detection cycle, Gumbel-based prediction method is more conservative than the RBI-based method. Compared with the RBI technology-based prediction method of internal detection cycle, domestic standard SY/ T 5921-2000 is relatively conservative. Therefore, it is recommended to use the RBI technology for determining the internal detection cycle of crude tanks.

     

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