王海蓉, 梁栋. LNG分层翻滚事故可预测性与盐水模化实验[J]. 油气储运, 2012, 31(4): 246-249, 253. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2012.04.002
引用本文: 王海蓉, 梁栋. LNG分层翻滚事故可预测性与盐水模化实验[J]. 油气储运, 2012, 31(4): 246-249, 253. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2012.04.002
Wang Hairong, Liang Dong. Predictability of LNG stratification rollover and salt water modeling experiment[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2012, 31(4): 246-249, 253. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2012.04.002
Citation: Wang Hairong, Liang Dong. Predictability of LNG stratification rollover and salt water modeling experiment[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2012, 31(4): 246-249, 253. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2012.04.002

LNG分层翻滚事故可预测性与盐水模化实验

Predictability of LNG stratification rollover and salt water modeling experiment

  • 摘要: 根据LNG分层翻滚的温度信号涨落,利用互信息函数和小数据量的Rosenstein算法,计算了翻滚事故样本的时间延迟、嵌入维数以及最大Lyapunov指数,得到了事故的最大可预测时间;基于盐水与LNG分层、传热以及对流过程的相似性分析,建立了盐水模化实验系统,以模拟储罐分层翻滚时的密度场。通过实验,得到了LNG分层形成的条件、翻滚发生的时间、初始密度差、充注速度和漏热等因素对分层翻滚事故的影响。实验证明:当初始密度差为17.2 kg/m3,漏热为3.9 W/m2时,翻滚发生的时间为28 h,这一结论与液化天然气储槽中进行的翻滚实验数据相吻合。

     

    Abstract: In accordance with the fluctuation of temperature signal for LNG stratification rollover and by the use of mutual information function and small data sets' Rosenstein algorithm, the time delay, embedding dimension and maximum Lyapunov exponent of rollover sample are calculated to obtain the maximum predictable time of the rollover. Similarity analysis on salt water and LNG stratification, heat transfer and convection process is made, and salt water modeling experimental system is set up to simulate the density field of stratification rollover. From the salt water modeling experiment, formation conditions of LNG stratification, rollover time and initial density differences, impacts of filling rate, heat leakage and other factors on the stratification rollover are obtained. The experimental results indicate that when the initial density difference is at 17.2 kg/m3 and heat leakage is at 3.9 W/m2, the rollover time is 28 h. This conclusion is consistent with the data obtained from rollover experiment in LNG storage tank.

     

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