基于未确知测度理论的油气管道安全评价模型
Uncertain Measuring Model Applied to Safety Evaluation of Oil and Gas Pipeline Systems
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摘要: 阐述了未确知测度模型的建模过程。分析了影响油气管道的安全因素。运用模型对某输油管道10个管段的安全级别进行了评价, 评价结果与实际相符合, 表明采用未确知测度模型可以对油气管道的安全进行有效的评价, 为采取相关安全措施提供依据。Abstract: A process to establish the uncertain measuring model is described and factors influencing safety of oil and gas pipeline are analyzed. Safety levels of 10 pipe sections in some oil pipeline are assessed with the model and the assessment result fits to actual situation of the pipeline, which displays that this kind of model can be effectively used to assess the safety of oil and gas pipelines and assessment results can be used as basis when taking safe measures for oil and gas pipelines.