周昊, 汪玉春, 汤林. 灵敏度分析在输气管道优化设计中的应用[J]. 油气储运, 2007, 26(3): 8-12. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2007.03.003
引用本文: 周昊, 汪玉春, 汤林. 灵敏度分析在输气管道优化设计中的应用[J]. 油气储运, 2007, 26(3): 8-12. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2007.03.003
ZHOU Hao, WANG Yuchun, . Research on Sensitivity Analysis Application in Optimal Design of Gas Pipeline[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2007, 26(3): 8-12. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2007.03.003
Citation: ZHOU Hao, WANG Yuchun, . Research on Sensitivity Analysis Application in Optimal Design of Gas Pipeline[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2007, 26(3): 8-12. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2007.03.003

灵敏度分析在输气管道优化设计中的应用

Research on Sensitivity Analysis Application in Optimal Design of Gas Pipeline

  • 摘要: 根据输气管道优化设计模型的特点,将其转化为广义几何规划(SGP)的标准形式并求解该模型,以该优化结果为基础,采用SGP灵敏度方法分析了基建投资费、天然气价格、管材性质等设计参数发生变化时最优解的变化情况并与原优化模型重新优化得到的结果加以比较,证明在该三类参数扰动±20%的范围内由SGP灵敏度分析方法获得的最优设计变量满足输气管道工程设计的要求。计算结果表明,最优解对与管径成正比的敷设费、与管道单位重量成正比的敷设费、管材屈服极限这三个参数的变化最敏感;对压缩机站单位功率的年经营费、维护费和设备费这两个参数的变化不敏感,并且前三个参数的扰动对设计变量管径、输送压力的影响较明显,因此在优化设计时必须准确地确定这三个参数,以确保优化设计变量尤其是管径和输送压力的稳定性。

     

    Abstract: In traditional pipeline optimal design, the coefficients of design variable in optimal models are certain. However, these coefficients' change result in the change of optimal solutions due to the external reasons. Thus there exist a problem that how to gain the changed optimal solutions when these coefficients change. The sensitivity analysis of optimal design just can solve this problem quickly and effectively. According to the characteristic of the natural gas transmission pipeline optimal model, and to solve it, the model is transformed to the standard form of Generalized Geometric Programming. After having gotten the optimal solutions of the model, the sensitivity analysis algorithm of Generalized Geometric Programming is used to analyze influences on optimal solutions when its parameters such as capital construction investment, natural gas price, pipeline materials characteristic and so on have been perturbed. It is concluded that the optimal results got by the sensitivity analysis algorithm of Generalized Geometric Programming meets the needs of natural gas pipeline engineering design within the ±20% ranges of parameters perturbation by comparing the results of sensitivity analysis with the ones of the optimal model newly-optimization. The example indicates that the optimal solutions are the most sensitive to the perturbation of such the three parameters as the cost being direct ratio with the diameter of the pipe, the cost being direct ratio with the unit weight of the pipe and the intensity limit of the pipe, are rather sensitive to the perturbation of such the parameters as the initial compressor cost unconcerned with power, the initial compressor cost being direct ratio with power, the annual management cost of the compressor stations unconcerned with power and the internal charge for gas and are little sensitive to the perturbation of such the parameters as the unit power management cost at each compressor station and the cost for maintenance and utilities.

     

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