基于人工神经网络的管道运行费用预测
Predication on Pipeline Transportation Expense based on Artificial Neural Networ k
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摘要: 利用人工神经网络能够较好地模拟在各种不确定因素影响下的因果变量之间的内在关系。建立了基于人工神经网络的管道运行费用预测模型, 该模型的网络结构由输入层(1个节点)、隐层(7个节点)和输出层(1个节点)组成。采用改进的BP算法对2 5组学习样本进行训练, 得到各节点间的连接权和阈值, 然后用优化好的网络进行给定输量的管道运行费用预测。预测结果表明, 利用该方法建立的模型预测误差在4%以内, 可以完全满足工程实际需要。Abstract: Pipeline transportation expense predicting model is set up based on artificial n eural network, for artifi-cial neural network can simulate the relation between result variable and uncert ainty cause variable. The model's network structure has input-layer (one node), latent-layer (seven nodes) and output-layer (one node). The 25 study samples' training is completed using the improved BP algorit hm and each node's weight and bias value are gained. Then given transport quantity pipeline transpo rtation expense is predicted by using trained network model. The 6 sample's predicting result indicates that the error of predicting value range is within 4% using this model. It completely satisfies engineering p ractice needs.