董玉华, 高惠临, 周敬恩, 冯耀荣. 长输管道定量风险评价方法研究[J]. 油气储运, 2001, 20(8): 5-8. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2001.08.002
引用本文: 董玉华, 高惠临, 周敬恩, 冯耀荣. 长输管道定量风险评价方法研究[J]. 油气储运, 2001, 20(8): 5-8. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2001.08.002
Dong Yuhua, Gao Huilin, . Study on Quantitative Risk Assessment of Oil and Gas Pipeline[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2001, 20(8): 5-8. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2001.08.002
Citation: Dong Yuhua, Gao Huilin, . Study on Quantitative Risk Assessment of Oil and Gas Pipeline[J]. Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation, 2001, 20(8): 5-8. DOI: 10.6047/j.issn.1000-8241.2001.08.002

长输管道定量风险评价方法研究

Study on Quantitative Risk Assessment of Oil and Gas Pipeline

  • 摘要: 油气管道的定量风险评价技术是一门新型的管理技术介绍了定量风险评价技术的内容, 以及国外在定量风险评价技术方面所取得的成绩。在我国进行管道的定量风险评价技术具有重要意义, 管道管理者可以根据评价结果了解管道的完好状况和提前掌握管道的危险地段情况, 以便合理地分配维护资金, 变管道的盲目被动维修为预知主动维修, 提高管道的运行安全性。

     

    Abstract: This paper is concerned with quantitative risk assessment of oil and gas pipelines. The quantitative risk assessment composes of five components, such as system description, hazard identification, frequency analysis, consequence analysis and risk estimation and evaluation. And this paper describes every component of risk assessment in detail. Risk assessment is a novelty management technique, which has been investigated in U. S., Canada and Europe for many years, having achieved significant societal and economic benefits when applying to pipeline industries. Due to difference between domestic pipeline present conditions and that of overseas, the overseas investigation results of risk assessment may not be applicable to domestic pipeline completely. It is necessary to evaluate domestic pipelines safety according to pipeline practice. In doing so, manager of pipelines can predominate pipeline condition and know danger section in advance, therefore, allotting limited maintenance capitals effectively and improving pipelines safety. In addition, some useful conclusions obtained during risk assessment can provide a basis for pipeline safe design, choosing appropriate run route.

     

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