“双碳”目标下LNG接收站现状分析及创新发展策略

Analysis of the current status and innovative development strategies for LNG terminals under the “dual carbon” goals

  • 摘要:
    目的 在国家“双碳”战略目标背景下,天然气“桥梁”作用凸显,LNG因市场化程度较高、运营灵活等因素具备平衡天然气供需属性。LNG接收站是全球LNG供应链承上启下的枢纽,随着LNG产业的稳步增长,中国已建成32座LNG接收站,LNG年接收能力已达1.4 000×104 t/a,LNG接收站行业规模不断扩大,新形势下LNG接收站创新发展尤为重要。
    方法 通过调研文献系统梳理中国LNG产业发展态势、LNG接收站行业数据和近年来国家发布的行业规范发相关展政策,剖析LNG接收站行业面临的风险挑战,构建“行业背景-发展现状-风险挑战-应对策略”分析框架,提出LNG接收站未来发展路径。
    结果 中国LNG接收站运营主体包括中央企业、地方国企和民营企业,呈现多元化发展态势。LNG接收站已基本向第三方基本实现公平开放,建立了以LNG接收站窗口期为核心的服务产品,初步实现了市场化。中国LNG接收站当前面临外部环境不确定性持续增加、LNG接收站集中投产运营导致的行业产能过剩、服务产品丰富性不足三大风险挑战。
    结论 为推动行业更加高效、公平、开放发展,LNG接收站可采取以下发展策略:①积极拓展储气、车船LNG燃料加注、保税转运等新兴高增长业务;②探索氢能、二氧化碳、绿电、冷能等多能流耦合协同体系,将LNG接收站融入新型能源质能网;③制定统一的市场产品和交易规则,建立LNG接收站全国统一大市场;④将LNG接收站窗口期服务拆分为靠泊权、储气容量以及外输容量3种产品的组合定价,细化服务产品分类;⑤搭建网站、手机终端等数字化应用平台,实现LNG接收站服务产品信息动态共享。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective In the context of China’s “dual carbon” strategic goals, natural gas plays a crucial bridging role. Due to its high degree of marketization and flexible operation, LNG effectively balances natural gas supply and demand. LNG terminals serve as key hubs in the global LNG supply chain. With steady industry growth, China has established 32 LNG terminals, boasting an annual receiving capacity of 1.4 000×104 t/a. As the LNG terminal sector continues to expand, innovative development is essential to meet evolving demands under the new strategic landscape.
    Methods Through a literature review, the development trends of China’s LNG industry, industry data on LNG terminals, and relevant national regulations and policies issued in recent years were systematically sorted out. The risks and challenges facing the LNG terminal industry were analyzed, and an “industry background–development status–risks and challenges–response strategies” analytical framework was constructed to propose future development pathways for LNG terminals.
    Results Operators of LNG terminals in China include central and local state-owned enterprises as well as private companies, reflecting a diversified development trend. Fair access for third parties has been largely achieved, service products centered on LNG terminal window periods have been established, and initial marketization has been realized. Currently, China’s LNG terminals face three major challenges: increasing external environmental uncertainty, industry overcapacity due to concentrated commissioning, and limited diversity of service offerings.
    Conclusion To promote a more efficient, fair, and open industry, the following strategies are recommended for LNG terminals: (1) actively expand emerging high-growth businesses such as gas storage, LNG fueling for vehicles and ships, and bonded transfer; (2) develop a multi-energy coupling system integrating hydrogen, carbon dioxide, green electricity, and cold energy, incorporating LNG terminals into a new mass-energy network; (3) establish unified market products and trading rules to create a national LNG terminal market; (4) decompose the terminal’s window period service into a combination of three product pricing options—berthing rights, storage capacity, and export capacity—and refine service product categorization; (5) build digital platforms, including websites and mobile apps, to enable dynamic sharing of LNG terminal service information.

     

/

返回文章
返回