城市天然气管道掺氢改造中的关键风险及控制对策

Critical risks and control strategies in retrofitting urban natural gas pipelines for hydrogen blending

  • 摘要:
    目的 双碳目标下,天然气管网掺氢是氢能规模化应用的核心路径,氢气与天然气的物性差异给管网系统带来了全新安全风险,现有研究缺乏掺氢改造全链条风险的系统性耦合评估,为保障掺氢改造的安全实施与规模化推广开展本研究,为工程实践、标准制定与风险管理提供支撑。
    方法 通过系统文献梳理与理论分析,全面对比氢气与甲烷的核心物性参数,阐明掺氢对混合气体泄漏、扩散、燃烧爆炸特性的影响机制;构建覆盖资源供应、管网输配、场站运行至终端使用的全链条风险分析框架,从管材氢致损伤、密封系统渗漏、场站设备适配、运行工况波动、终端燃具适应性等维度,系统识别全流程关键风险点;整合定性与定量风险评估方法,对比不同掺氢工艺的安全边界,形成覆盖全生命周期的综合风险控制体系。
    结果 明确了掺氢后混合气体密度、最小点火能、燃烧速度、爆炸极限等核心参数变化,会直接收窄城市燃气系统的安全边界,厘清了从物性变化到设施损伤、运行失稳、终端事故的完整风险传导路径;证实掺氢比20%工况下,选用低强度管线钢、强化密封系统并采用精准混气工艺具备技术可行性,明确老旧管网设施、瞬态操作工况、终端燃具适配性是3大核心风险源;验证了现有风险评估方法与计算流体力学(Computational Fluid Dynamics, CFD)数值模拟技术可支撑掺氢场景的风险识别与量化,同时明确其需针对掺氢特性更新失效数据与模型参数,最终构建了“材料-监测-管理-标准”四位一体的全流程风险防控框架。
    结论 城市天然气管网掺氢改造具备技术可行性,安全风险贯穿了全产业链条,需开展系统性风险评估与全流程管控;未来研究应聚焦长期运行数据积累、耦合风险模型研发,完善专项标准体系与协同监管机制,推动掺氢技术安全、规模化应用。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective Under China’s carbon peaking and carbon neutrality targets, hydrogen blending in natural gas pipeline networks has emerged as a key pathway for the large-scale deployment of hydrogen energy. However, differences in physical properties between hydrogen and natural gas introduce entirely new safety risks to pipeline network systems, while existing studies still lack a systematic, coupled assessment of risks across the entire retrofit chain. This study is therefore undertaken to ensure the safe implementation and scaled deployment of hydrogen-blending retrofits, and to provide a foundation for engineering practice, standards development, and risk management.
    Methods A systematic literature review and theoretical analysis were conducted to comprehensively compare the key physical property parameters of hydrogen and methane and to elucidate how hydrogen blending affects the leakage, dispersion, and combustion–explosion characteristics of the blended gas. A full-chain risk analysis framework covering resource supply, pipeline transmission and distribution, station operation, and end use was subsequently constructed. Critical risk points across the entire process were then systematically identified in terms of hydrogen-induced damage to pipe materials, leakage in sealing systems, station-equipment compatibility, fluctuations in operating conditions, and the adaptability of end-use gas appliances. Qualitative and quantitative risk assessment methods were further integrated to compare the safety boundaries of different hydrogen-blending processes, thereby forming a comprehensive risk control system covering the full life cycle.
    Results The study established that hydrogen blending alters key physical property parameters of the gas mixture, including density, minimum ignition energy, burning velocity, and explosion limits, which directly narrows the safety envelope of urban gas systems. The full risk transmission pathway from changes in physical properties to facility damage, operational instability, and end-user accidents was also clarified. At a hydrogen blending ratio of 20%, the selection of low-strength pipeline steel, reinforcement of sealing systems, and adoption of precise gas-blending processes were shown to be technically feasible; aging pipeline facilities, transient operating conditions, and end-use gas-appliance compatibility were identified as the three core risk sources. Existing risk assessment methods and Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulation techniques were further shown to support risk identification and quantification in hydrogen-blending scenarios, while also indicating the need to update failure data and model parameters to reflect the specific characteristics of hydrogen blending. Ultimately, an integrated “materials–monitoring–management–standards” framework for full-process risk prevention and control was established.
    Conclusion Retrofitting urban natural gas pipeline networks for hydrogen blending is technically feasible. However, the associated safety risks extend across the entire industry chain, making systematic risk assessment and end-to-end risk control essential. Future research should prioritize the accumulation of long-term operational data, the development of coupled risk models, and the refinement of dedicated standards and coordinated regulatory mechanisms to support the safe and large-scale deployment of hydrogen-blending technology.

     

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