基于中心认知智能体的多源感知事件关联方法

Multi-source Sensing Event Association Method Based on a Central Cognitive Agent

  • 摘要: 【目的】长输油气管道沿线已逐步部署光纤振动预警、泄漏监测、无人机巡检和视频监控等感知模型,但多模型告警之间仍存在时间尺度不一致、空间基准不统一、证据冲突难解释和人工复核压力大的问题。为支撑管道安全风险由单点告警向综合研判转变,提出一种基于中心认知智能体的长输油气管道多源感知风险评估方法。【方法】构建面向管段事件的多源感知数据组织方式,将光纤振动、压力声学、无人机图像和视频目标检测结果统一映射为结构化风险证据;构建光纤预警、泄漏监测、无人机巡检和视频监控4类专项感知模型,分别完成局部事件识别与置信度校准;在专项模型输出之上构建中心认知智能体,以结构化多源证据作为事件状态,结合时空对齐结果,根据当前证据状态调用历史案例检索、业务规则检索和事件记忆查询等功能模块,并利用大语言模型完成证据一致性判断、风险归因和处置建议生成;对于证据冲突或信息不足的事件,通过补充检索和规则校验更新事件状态,最终输出风险等级、证据依据、原因解释和处置建议,人工复核结果进一步反馈至事件记忆。【结果】以两条脱敏在役管段回放数据为对象开展试验。本文方法的精确率、召回率和F1分数分别达到94.08%、91.76%和92.91%,误报率降至4.90%;相比注意力融合模型,F1分数提高3.61个百分点,误报率降低2.50个百分点。跨管段测试中,本文方法在两个迁移方向下的F1分数分别达到90.42%和91.03%,表现出较好的迁移稳定性。【结论】中心认知智能体能够在不替代现场专项模型的前提下,对异构告警进行可解释综合研判,提升复杂场景下风险识别的召回率、误报抑制能力和工程可用性,可为长输管道智能巡护与应急处置提供技术支撑。(图6,表4,参30)

     

    Abstract: Objective Long-distance oil and gas pipelines have been increasingly equipped with sensing models such as fiber-optic vibration early warning, leakage monitoring, UAV inspection, and video surveillance. However, multi-model alarms still suffer from inconsistent temporal scales, non-unified spatial references, difficulty in explaining conflicting evidence, and heavy manual review workload. To support the transition from isolated alarms to comprehensive risk judgement, a multi-source risk assessment method based on a central cognitive agent is proposed. Methods A pipeline-segment-event-oriented data organization mode is established, and fiber-optic vibration signals, pressure-acoustic signals, UAV images and video detection results are uniformly mapped into structured risk evidence. Four specialized sensing models are constructed for fiber-optic warning, leakage monitoring, UAV inspection and video surveillance to perform local event recognition and confidence calibration. A central cognitive agent is built on top of these models, taking structured multi-source evidence as the event state. Based on the current evidence state, the agent retrieves historical cases, business rules and event memory, and employs a large language model to perform evidence consistency analysis, risk attribution and disposal suggestion generation. For events with conflicting or insufficient evidence, the event state is further updated through supplementary retrieval and rule checking before a risk conclusion or manual-review request is generated.Results Experiments were conducted using desensitized replay data from two in-service pipelines. The proposed method achieved a precision of 94.08%, a recall of 91.76%, and an F1-score of 92.91%, while reducing the false alarm rate to 4.90%. Compared with the attention-based fusion model, the F1-score increased by 3.61 percentage points and the false alarm rate decreased by 2.50 percentage points. In cross-segment tests, the F1-scores reached 90.42% and 91.03% in two migration directions, respectively. Conclusion Without replacing field-specific models, the central cognitive agent can provide explainable comprehensive judgement of heterogeneous alarms and support intelligent patrol and emergency response of long-distance pipelines. (6 Figures, 4 Tables, 30 References)

     

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