圆柱储罐侧壁小孔泄漏的流量系数修正及快速评估方法(重投)

Discharge Coefficient Correction and Rapid Assessment Method for Side-wall Small-hole Leakage from Cylindrical Storage Tanks

  • 摘要: 【目的】为提高圆柱储罐侧壁小孔泄漏工况下泄漏流量、排空时间及液位状态的快速评估精度,构建面向事故初期快速研判的泄漏参数评估方法。【方法】搭建常压圆柱储罐侧壁泄漏实验平台,系统开展3~10 mm孔径条件下的变液位泄漏实验,获取泄漏流量、排空时间及射流射程等关键数据。在此基础上,分析流量系数随孔径和雷诺数变化的动态特征,建立流量系数修正模型,并将其引入排空过程计算;进一步以孔径、液位和有效水头为输入变量,构建射流射程预测模型和液位反向估计模型,实现基于外部泄漏特征对储罐内部状态的快速反演。【结果】研究表明:在3~10 mm孔径范围内,流量系数并非常数,其取值受孔口几何特征和雷诺数共同影响;小孔径(3~4 mm)工况下流量系数均值约0.88,较经典锐边孔口理论值(约0.61~0.65)高31%~45%。修正后的流量系数可将排空时间预测误差从24%降至5%以内;射程预测模型的判定系数R²达0.99,液位反向估计的平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)为1.93%。【结论】基于流量系数修正、射程预测和液位反演三个模块,构建了圆柱储罐侧壁小孔泄漏快速评估框架,可为事故初期快速研判提供技术参考。(图17,表8,参35)

     

    Abstract:  Objective To improve the accuracy of rapid assessment of discharge rate, drainage time, and liquid-level status for side-wall small-hole leakage from cylindrical storage tanks, a rapid assessment method for key leakage parameters is proposed for early-stage accident evaluation. Methods A laboratory-scale atmospheric cylindrical tank leakage platform is established, and variable-head leakage experiments are systematically carried out under orifice diameters of 3–10 mm to obtain the discharge rate, drainage time, and jet range. Based on the experimental data, the dynamic characteristics of the discharge coefficient with respect to hole diameter and Reynolds number are analyzed, and a corrected discharge-coefficient model is developed and incorporated into the drainage-process calculation. In addition, a jet-range prediction model is established by taking the hole diameter, liquid level, and effective head as input variables. Combined with observable jet-range information, a liquid-level inversion model is further constructed to estimate the internal tank state from external leakage features. Results The study shows that, within the tested diameter range of 3–10 mm, the discharge coefficient is not constant, and its value is jointly affected by the orifice geometry and Reynolds number. The average discharge coefficient for small orifices (3–4 mm) is approximately 0.88, which is 31%–45% higher than the classical sharp-edged orifice values (approximately 0.61–0.65). The corrected discharge coefficient reduces the drainage-time prediction error from 24% to below 5%. The jet-range prediction model achieves an R² of 0.99, and the mean absolute percentage error for liquid-level inversion is 1.93%. Conclusion A rapid assessment framework for side-wall small-hole leakage from cylindrical tanks is constructed by integrating discharge-coefficient correction, jet-range prediction, and liquid-level inversion, providing technical reference for rapid assessment at the early stage of leakage accidents. (17 Figures, 8 Tables, 35 References)

     

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