从“十五五”规划纲要看油气管网发展趋势

Development trends of oil and gas pipeline networks under the 15th Five-Year Plan

  • 摘要:
    目的 “十五五”时期是中国初步建成新型能源体系、全面推进能源强国建设的关键阶段,油气管网作为国家战略性基础设施面临功能定位的根本性转变。基于此,从“十五五”规划纲要的顶层设计出发,系统梳理油气管网的发展方向,以期为科技研发与管理决策提供参考。
    方法 基于“十五五”规划纲要及国家部委解读、行业发展规划与企业工程实践,结合油气管网与新能源的融合、数字化转型与智能化升级等技术发展,以及油气市场体系改革、进口税收优惠政策、标准体系建设等制度保障,系统分析并深入总结了油气管网在新型能源体系中的战略定位、布局优化及融合路径。
    结果 “十五五”时期油气管网将呈现三大核心特征:①在战略定位上,从单一油气输送通道向多能源融合的综合性能源输送网络转型,成为现代油气产业体系的核心载体、新型能源体系的重要组成及能源安全保障的战略支撑。②在空间布局上,天然气干线“全国一张网”持续完善,原油、成品油管道以局部优化为主;储气调峰设施与天然气管网协同布局,并与电网、氢能管网等基础设施统筹规划,推动构建新型能源质能网,形成布局更优、覆盖更广、协同更强的能源动脉格局。③在发展路径上,天然气管道掺氢输送、成品油管道顺序输送甲醇、原油管道及储库多元化利用等技术路径加速突破;降低氢能输送投资需求紧迫,成为增强能源供应链弹性与韧性的重要依托;数字化转型与智能化升级作为核心驱动力,“人工智能+”将深度融入管网调度优化、故障预警、安全巡检等核心业务;与之相适应的市场机制、价格体系与标准规范同步完善,为管网高质量运营提供保障。
    结论 “十五五”时期,中国油气管网将朝着多能融合、协同优化、智能管控、综合服务的方向演进,如期建成现代油气产业体系,需统筹规划、系统推进油气管网与上下游资源市场的协同发展,强化技术创新与制度保障双轮驱动,为能源安全与绿色转型提供必要支撑。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective The 15th Five-Year Plan period marks a critical phase for China to establish a new energy system and advance the construction of an “energy powerhouse”. As key national infrastructure, oil and gas pipeline networks are undergoing a fundamental shift in their functional roles. This paper systematically reviews the development directions of these networks based on the top-level design of the “Outline of the 15th Five-Year Plan”, providing a reference for scientific research and management decision-making.
    Methods Drawing on the “Outline of the 15th Five-Year Plan”, interpretations from national ministries and commissions, industry plans, and enterprise practices, this paper conducts systematic analysis and inductive summary. Advancements in technologies such as the integration of oil and gas pipeline networks with renewable energy, digital transformation, and intelligent upgrades, as well as institutional measures like oil and gas market system reforms, import tax incentives, and standard system construction were also incorporated into the analysis. The strategic positioning, layout optimization and integration pathways of oil and gas pipeline networks in the new energy system were thoroughly examined.
    Results The study reveals three core characteristics of China’s oil and gas pipeline networks during the 15th Five-Year Plan period: (1) Strategic positioning: The networks will transition from single-purpose oil and gas transmission corridors to integrated multi-energy transmission systems, serving as the backbone of the modern oil and gas industry, a key component of the new energy system, and a strategic pillar for energy security. (2) Spatial layout: The national unified natural gas trunkline network will be further enhanced, while crude oil and refined oil pipelines will focus on localized optimization. Gas storage and peak-shaving facilities will be cooperatively deployed with natural gas pipelines and integrated into the comprehensive planning of infrastructure such as power grids and hydrogen pipelines, serving to accelerate the development of the substance-energy network for the new energy system, thus forming an energy artery network that features optimized spatial distribution, broader coverage, and stronger coordination. (3) Development paths: Technological advancements will accelerate breakthroughs in hydrogen blending in natural gas pipelines, batch transportation of methanol in refined oil pipelines, and diversified uses of crude oil pipelines and storage. It is urgent to reduce investments in hydrogen transport, and this has become an important foundation for improving the flexibility and resilience of the energy supply chain. Digital transformation and intelligent upgrades will become core driving forces, with “Artificial Intelligence +” integrated into core operations such as pipeline dispatching, fault detection, and safety inspections. Market mechanisms, pricing systems, and standards and regulations will be refined in tandem, providing a strong foundation for the high-quality operation of pipeline networks.
    Conclusion During the 15th Five-Year Plan period, China’s oil and gas pipeline networks will evolve toward multi-energy integration, collaborative optimization, intelligent management, and comprehensive services. To build a modern oil and gas industry system on schedule, efforts should be made to coordinate and systematically advance the integrated development of pipeline networks with upstream and downstream resource markets, while strengthening the dual drivers of technological innovation and institutional support to ensure energy security and facilitate the green transition.

     

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