国内外极端油气管道事件分析及对我国油气管廊安全启示

Analysis of Extreme Oil and Gas Pipeline Events in China and Abroad: Implications for the Safety of Domestic Utility Tunnels

  • 摘要: 目的 自然灾害、地缘冲突及网络攻击等极端事件已成为威胁我国油气管廊安全运行的重大挑战。为系统识别核心风险、揭示其作用规律,并构建一套行之有效的防控实施路径,以提升国家能源基础设施在极端情景下的韧性与可靠性,亟需开展针对性研究。方法通过文献调研与典型案例剖析相结合的方法,系统梳理了国内外重大油气管道极端事件案例,涵盖北美、中东、欧洲及我国多个典型区域的灾害案例,通过对事件的诱因机理、破坏模式、应急响应与灾后保障机制的深入解析,揭示了不同类型极端事件的作用特征与演化规律;结果研究创新性地识别并提炼出影响油气管道系统安全的五大核心极端风险因素:①地质灾害、②恐怖袭击、③局部战争、④电气火源、⑤黑客攻击,系统阐释了各类风险因素的典型表现及其危害机制,在此基础上,研究进一步提出了具有可操作性的四大防控实施路径:关键节点强化与主动防御、极端情景监测与前瞻预警、应急响应与抢修保障以及战略备份与系统保障;结论本研究识别的油气极端事件的核心风险因素,并提出了具体的防控措施实施路径,研究成果可为我国油气管廊在面对复杂多变极端风险时的安全设计与运行管理提供了系统的理论支撑与技术参考,也为国家层面完善能源基础设施安全保障体系、制定针对性的管道防护政策与应急准备策略提供了重要的决策依据,对全面提升我国油气管廊系统在极端情景下的抗灾强度与可靠运行水平具有显著的理论价值和实践指导意义。

     

    Abstract: Extreme events, including natural disasters, geopolitical conflicts, and cyberattacks, have become major challenges threatening the safe operation of oil and gas utility tunnels in China. To systematically identify core risks, reveal their mechanisms, and construct effective implementation pathways for prevention and control—ultimately enhancing the resilience and reliability of national energy infrastructure under extreme scenarios—targeted research is urgently required. This study combines a comprehensive literature review with an in-depth analysis of typical cases. It systematically reviews major extreme incidents involving oil and gas pipelines both domestically and internationally, covering regions such as North America, the Middle East, Europe, and China. By thoroughly analyzing causation mechanisms, failure modes, emergency responses, and post-disaster recovery mechanisms, this research reveals the operational characteristics and evolutionary laws of various extreme events. The study innovatively identifies and distills five core extreme risk factors affecting the safety of oil and gas pipeline systems: (1) geological disasters, (2) terrorist attacks, (3) local conflicts/wars, (4) electrical fire sources, and (5) cyberattacks (hacking). It systematically elucidates the typical manifestations and hazard mechanisms of each factor. Furthermore, four actionable prevention and control implementation pathways are proposed: strengthening key nodes and active defense, monitoring and proactive early warning for extreme scenarios, emergency response and rapid repair guarantees, and strategic backup and system assurance. By identifying core risk factors of extreme oil and gas events and proposing specific prevention pathways, this study provides systematic theoretical support and technical references for the safety design and operational management of China’s oil and gas utility tunnels under complex risks. The findings offer a crucial decision-making basis for improving the national energy infrastructure security system and formulating targeted protection policies and emergency strategies. Consequently, this work holds significant theoretical value and practical guidance for comprehensively enhancing the disaster resistance and operational reliability of China's oil and gas utility tunnel systems under extreme scenarios.

     

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